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ResearchTech

The prediction systems lab
For investment teams

Trusted by teams and leaders from

Credora Ramp Network Golem Foundation Kogito Ventures Unfold VC Resquant
Our mission

Every decision is a prediction.

Its conviction is a product of what the firm reads, how it weighs signal against noise, and what context it holds at the moment of commitment.

We built a household of AI-native co-workers under a single mandate. To lift the conviction of every judgment the firm makes, especially those taken under weight and against time.

Why raw models fall short

The best model still misses 4 in 10.

More context doesn't buy more trust. Push a full data room through even the top model and it slips below two-thirds accuracy. It misses facts, conflates them, and fills the gaps with things that were never in the file. At report scale, unreliable is the default, not the exception.

Model accuracy at 750 pages of context

OpenAI GPT-5.6 Sol 61.3%
Anthropic Claude Opus 4.6 54.3%
Google DeepMind Gemini 3.5 Flash 38.8%
Z.ai GLM 5.2 34.9%
DeepSeek DeepSeek V4 Pro 28.8%

500K tokens · 8-needle retrieval · benchmark from Context Arena

How every number is made

The method.

Every number we hand back is computed in deterministic code. The model reasons over the evidence and proposes, and never emits the score itself. What you get is an honest distribution, not a false point, and every figure drills down to the claim and the source behind it.

01

Determinism

Models propose, code computes

The authoritative score is deterministic and reproducible over a human-frozen methodology. The model does the reasoning; it never emits the number.

02

Uncertainty

Distributions, not points

Each methodology runs as a probabilistic graph evaluated by forward Monte-Carlo over non-compensatory nodes. Ranges, multimodality and boundary-mass come out by construction.

03

Verification

Decorrelated generate-and-verify

Three independent frames, prior withheld, ideally across model families, then one whole-case synthesis. Verification from the right frame is cheaper, and more accurate, than generation.

04

Veto

One fatal flaw caps the result

A single grounded blocker is non-compensatory: no amount of enthusiasm elsewhere is allowed to average it away, the way ordinary scorecards quietly do.

Built on the method

Our products.

The same technology, embedded into two specialized products. Each is purpose-built for a single job, and honed for it alone.

01 · Sourcing

Clemens

Prospecting

Finds the deals and the decision-makers to reach, then builds the case through to a signed IC memo.

  • A live pipeline of fresh deals
  • Every filing and the open web, covered
  • Warm intro chain to the decision-makers
  • Signed IC memo, every claim source-linked
Available in
Slack Teams Outlook Gmail via MCP
Hire Clemens
02 · Diligence

Melville

Due Diligence

Reads the entire company and the open web before you commit: deck to cap table, on every risk.

  • Defendable report in under 3 hours
  • 70+ specialist lenses on every file
  • Accuracy holds to 150M+ tokens
  • Every claim page-linked to its source
Available in
Slack Teams Outlook Gmail via MCP
Hire Melville
The studio behind the household

The atelier.

Every co-worker is designed, trained, and held to one standard in-house, by the same people who ship it.

01

Elite Talent

Top 0.1% AI engineers, paired with operators from the buy- and sell-side desk. Each co-worker is trained by someone who has lived the decision it informs: instinct, not just intelligence.

The standard trained by the desk, for the desk.

02

Engineered Velocity

Build cycles compressed by our proprietary Layer Method: reusable, versioned blocks that carry from one co-worker to the next. Nothing is rebuilt from scratch, so each one ships faster than the last.

The compound every build makes the next one faster.

03

Outcome-Aligned

We don't sell hours or seats. Our incentives are tied to the EBITDA we help create. We're paid when the desk is, and scope the work around the decisions that move it.

The stake we win when the desk wins.

Build the next
fund